Carbon is forever

From Nature

After our fossil fuel blow-out, how long will the CO2 hangover last? And what about the global fever that comes along with it?

“Because of this long CO2 lifetime, we cannot solve the climate problem by slowing down emissions by 20% or 50% or even 80%. It does not matter much whether the CO2 is emitted this year, next year, or several years from now [….] Instead … we must identify a portion of the fossil fuels that will be left in the ground, or captured upon emission and put back into the ground.”

“It is a little bit scary, if you think about all the concerns we have about radioactive wastes produced by nuclear power. The potential impacts from emitting CO2 to the atmosphere are even longer than that.” But there’s still hope for avoiding these long-term effects if technologies that are now on the drawing board can be scaled up affordably. “If civilization was able to develop ways of scrubbing CO2 out of the atmosphere, […]it’s possible you could reverse this CO2 hangover.”

From Azimuth, where you will find lots of other graphs, numbers, and commentary, e.g.

But anyway: if we keep up “business as usual”, it’s easy to imagine us doubling the carbon dioxide sometime this century, so we need to ask: what would a world 3 °C warmer be like?
….
You can get some idea from the National Research Council report. … I think it’s important to read these [conclusions], to see that bad things will happen, but the world will not end. Psychologically, it’s easy to avoid taking action if you think there’s no problem — but it’s also easy if you think you’re doomed and there’s no point.

Which is followed a discussion of current trends toward those conclusions.

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